We’re nearing the halfway point in the NFL season, and this week’s slate includes five divisional games and a make-or-break week for many teams. With the trade deadline looming, this weekend’s results could quickly transition teams to buyers or sellers. Let’s dig in.

Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Jacksonville -2.5

Total: 39.5 points

We’ll be treated to a Sunday morning game this week in London, and while you sleep in, root on a quiet game and take the under. Unders are 6-1 in Denver games this season and Jacksonville has had some offensive struggles of late that should persist against a strong Broncos defense.

Betting: Under 39.5 points

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Philadelphia Eagles

Spread: Philadelphia -10.5

Total: 43 points

The Pittsburgh secondary is a serious problem area, vulnerable to both long plays and touchdowns from receivers. Both AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith look primed for big games, so instead of picking one of them, why don’t we opt for the guy passing them the football? Jalen Hurts is over this weekend’s line in four of six games.

Betting: Jalen Hurts over 231.5 passing yards (-114 FD)

New England Patriots @ New York Jets

Spread: New England -2.5

Total: 40.5 points

The Jets continue to get no respect from lines makers, now 5-2 ATS and currently an underdog at home to the Patriots. New England has far more questions than answers on this team, steeped in a quarterback controversy and fresh off a blowout loss to Chicago. Our choice is simple.

Betting: Jets +2.5

Miami Dolphins @ Detroit Lions

Spread: Miami -3.5

Total: 51.5 points

As the highest over/under of the weekend, this is a good game to dig into some potential touchdown scorer props. The Lions typically watch opposing runners score against them, allowing the second-most touchdowns to RBs this year even with a bye week already under their belt. Raheem Mostert has taken on lead back duties for Miami, taking 14+ carries in four straight, so we look his way to capitalize on this soft matchup.

Betting: Raheem Mostert TD (-145 DK)

Chicago Bears @ Dallas Cowboys

Spread: Dallas -9.5

Total: 42.5 points

Is Chicago turning a corner after their big MNF win last week? The Bears offensive line remains a problem, and Dallas is in a prime spot to capitalize on that with Micah Parsons and this defensive line. The Cowboys have won by 12+ points in each of their last three wins, we’ll opt to bite on the big spread here.

Betting: Cowboys -9.5

Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings

Spread: Minnesota -3.5

Total: 49 points

Minnesota is 5-1, but they haven’t felt like a 5-1 team to us, only 2-4 ATS and often in close games. The Vikings secondary has remained a leaky bunch, and with DeAndre Hopkins back, the Arizona passing attack should have some success this Sunday. We’ll back the Cards.

Betting: Cardinals +3.5

Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons

Spread: Atlanta -4.5

Total: 41 points

The Falcons finally failed to cover a spread last week, but we’re giving them a chance to bounce back on what has been one of the best betting trends of this NFL season. We’ll be betting on Atlanta covering at home.

Betting: Falcons -4.5

Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints

Spread: Las Vegas -1

Total: 49.5 points

The Raiders and Saints are two of the best betting teams to the over this season. Las Vegas is 4-1-1 and New Orleans 5-2. We’ll opt to follow that trend on the turf in New Orleans and load up on plenty of points.

Betting: Over 49.5 points

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

Spread: Tennessee -2.5

Total: 40.5 points

The last three games Derrick Henry has had against Houston, he’s rushed for over 200 yards and scored 2+ touchdowns each time. Expect another dominant effort for Henry on Sunday, this would be a good chance to build a crazy SGP around Henry’s success.

Betting: Derrick Henry over 98.5 rushing yards (-115 DK)

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks

Spread: Seattle -3

Total: 44.5 points

Seattle has been a much better team than anticipated, but so have the Giants. It’s surprising to see New York getting three points here. They’re 6-1 ATS and overall. We have to ride this streak until something changes for the Giants.

Betting: Giants +3

San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams

Spread: San Francisco -1.5

Total: 42.5 points

The Rams are 6-1 to the under this season while the Niners are 5-2. These two NFC West teams already met once this season, and the total then hit just 33 points. There’s a logical conclusion here to once again bet on a low-scoring contest.

Betting: Under 42.5 points

Washington Commanders @ Indianapolis Colts

Spread: Indianapolis -3

Total: 39.5 points

If any Indianapolis fans bought tickets to this one in the hopes of booing Carson Wentz, sorry to say you won’t get the chance. This game has suddenly turned into a Taylor Heinicke vs. Sam Ehlinger matchup, and we’re not quite grasping why the Colts are favored. Heinicke just beat the Packers and has shown flashes before. We’re betting on the known over what could be with Ehlinger.

Betting: Commanders +3

Green Bay Packers @ Buffalo Bills

Spread: Buffalo -11

Total: 47.5 points

We’re not scared off by this spread in the slightest. Buffalo’s elite defense should be able to stifle what has been a very mediocre Packers offense, and the Bills are fresh off their bye and own one of the league’s most explosive offenses. Buffalo is 4-1-1 ATS and in a good spot to build on that despite a big spread.

Betting: Bills -11

Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

Spread: Cincinnati -3

Total: 45 points

Even with the Ja’Marr Chase injury, the Bengals should have enough to take down the reeling Browns. Cleveland has lost four straight games, and their defense has been a massive liability. Expect a big game from Joe Mixon and take the Bengals ATS.

Betting: Bengals -3